From: April 2018

Buy in May Go Away

There is an old saying in the financial world ‘Sell in May and Go Away‘. May is around the corner so now would be a good time to mention that it’s a dumb saying (which means this year will be the first in six to actually be a good time to sell in May). I …

To The Sun?

I love sun. This five year chart of First Solar looks pretty damn good. Zoom out 10 years and the last 5 years look like noise: At Stocktoberfest, my friend Charlie got a ‘perfect 10’ score for his ‘chart battle’ take on being long First Solar. I’m with Charlie on this stock and will be …

Stocktwits ‘Rooms’

Yesterday’s Stocktoberfest was fantastic. I had a great time seeing so many old friends in the financial social web space and media business. Of course, there were also so many new faces that just love the community and came to put faces to the name and see some great speakers. The highlight for me was …

P&G – Proctologist and Gamble

An old blue chip – Procter and Gamble – is a mess these days. Over the last 40 years the stock has always recovered from bear markets with all-time high prices. This recovery has left $PG behind (it never hit a new all-time high) and the stock is now reeling. They are under assault from …

Small Data For Big Wins

Mr. Black Swan himself Nassim Taleb had a Wired piece titled ‘Beware the Big Errors of Big Data‘ which is great. Please read it. The gist: WE’RE MORE FOOLED by noise than ever before, and it’s because of a nasty phenomenon called “big data.” With big data, researchers have brought cherry-picking to an industrial level. …