Deep Entrepreneur Thoughts…Dow 8,000 or 12,000 – Does it Matter ?

Since I am way more entrepreneur than market investor the last few years, I have had trouble blogging consistently. A play by play of my life as an entrepreneur has just never felt right. Looking back, that was a mistake.

Since I started this blog in 2005 I have written many times and through many different markets that ‘It’s always a good time to start a business’ and this Labor Day is no different.

While investors/traders worry about the next 100 Dow points, you should be focusing on your business and customers.

I still think back to the year 1999 when the Dow crossed 10,000 and CNBC had a party. Sadly, I remember where I was..on vacation…and watching CNBC.

We spoofed the whole idea on a Wallstrip back in 2006 when the Dow crossed 12,000:

Now the Dow has rallied 50 percent to get to 9,500 .

Now, Michael Moore will cash in on crashing the AIG offices even though we did this same stuff back in 2006 with Goldman Sachs $gs when few cared what went on behind those walls:

Timing is sometimes everything, but not something you can bottle or buy.

Basically we have gone backwards since 1999 yet billions have been made by entrepreneurs not focused on the stock market.

In a global sense, only a handful of people will make money on the Dow moving to 12,000 or 8,000 next.

The market is so fantastic because it is a great way to keep score. That’s why ESPN has been so successful and why the market moves towards 24/7/365 and not 2 days a week. I blogged recently that the world would be more productive if we closed our markets for three more days/week, but it’s just an opinion and would probably lead to further chaos.

Just because the market is open though, does not mean you need to watch it.

Just like time goes faster if you do not watch the clock, your business will grow faster if you stop staring at your present situation.

The opportunities are greater today than ever, whether the world is shrinking or expanding – where there is globalization or localization.

The chaotic and dire market and economic arguments are perfectly documented. To speak of opportunity is taboo. We have 24 hour television networks for EVERYTHING save entrepreneurs. That’s a shame, but also an opportunity (note to self).

Paul Graham had a great essay this weekend on ‘The Anatomy of Determination . If you are not out there making it happen for YOURSELF, than you are just in the prediction business which seems kind of sad. Predicting is fun and can be profitable, but rolling up your sleeves and making shit happen is the road to fulfillment.

The top 100 Entrepreneurs of the last 100 years had a lot of their fortune tied to the stock market, but it was their profitable businesses that made them rich.

Few get rich trading and fewer flipping their businesses.

It’s time we all got back to building and supporting great businesses and the entrepreneurs that will drag us out of this trough in the business cycle.

16 comments

  1. ivanhoff says:

    Don't forget that enterpreneurs need investors and traders to exist. The more liquid a stock market is, the lesser the perceived risk from entrepreneurs and VCs, because they know that there is an alternative exit to transfer some of their risk and there is place to receive a real time feedback for their work. Less perceived risk means lower cost of capital. Lower cost of capital provides opportunities for more entrepreneurs to follow their dreams. It matters where the Dow will go – 8k or 12k. Capitalism wouldn't work if stock markets didn't climb in longterm perspective. (declining stock prices for a prolonged time would lead to less interest in the stock market, therefore less volume, wider bid/ask spread and ultimately higher cost of capital).

    Not everyone can be a great entrepreneur, but everyone should try.

  2. ivanhoff says:

    Don’t forget that enterpreneurs need investors and traders to exist. The more liquid a stock market is, the lesser the perceived risk from entrepreneurs and VCs, because they know that there is an alternative exit to transfer some of their risk and there is place to receive a real time feedback for their work. Less perceived risk means lower cost of capital. Lower cost of capital provides opportunities for more entrepreneurs to follow their dreams. It matters where the Dow will go – 8k or 12k. Capitalism wouldn’t work if stock markets didn’t climb in longterm perspective. (declining stock prices for a prolonged time would lead to less interest in the stock market, therefore less volume, wider bid/ask spread and ultimately higher cost of capital).

    Not everyone can be a great entrepreneur, but everyone should try.

  3. ivanhoff says:

    Don’t forget that enterpreneurs need investors and traders to exist. The more liquid a stock market is, the lesser the perceived risk from entrepreneurs and VCs, because they know that there is an alternative exit to transfer some of their risk and there is place to receive a real time feedback for their work. Less perceived risk means lower cost of capital. Lower cost of capital provides opportunities for more entrepreneurs to follow their dreams. It matters where the Dow will go – 8k or 12k. Capitalism wouldn’t work if stock markets didn’t climb in longterm perspective. (declining stock prices for a prolonged time would lead to less interest in the stock market, therefore less volume, wider bid/ask spread and ultimately higher cost of capital).

    Not everyone can be a great entrepreneur, but everyone should try.

  4. Guest says:

    Howard – thank you for this timely blog post, as usual – markets and business cycles go up and down, but it takes balls to run a business and make it grow over the long-run. The only thing that is constant is passion/determination and that’s one of the few things you could really bet on when you invest in the people running a company. It’s also probably why a lot of successful entrepreneurs (and traders) were former athletes too. Because true athletes never give up.

    Loved Paul Graham’s essay there. Another one that I’m a big fan of, and one that I turn to every so often, is this post on how “Entrepreneurs Will Save America” – it’s optimistic, but it’s an optimism that I like to believe in – http://bit.ly/14SUCI

  5. Guest says:

    Howard – thank you for this timely blog post, as usual – markets and business cycles go up and down, but it takes balls to run a business and make it grow over the long-run. The only thing that is constant is passion/determination and that’s one of the few things you could really bet on when you invest in the people running a company. It’s also probably why a lot of successful entrepreneurs (and traders) were former athletes too. Because true athletes never give up.

    Loved Paul Graham’s essay there. Another one that I’m a big fan of, and one that I turn to every so often, is this post on how “Entrepreneurs Will Save America” – it’s optimistic, but it’s an optimism that I like to believe in – http://bit.ly/14SUCI

  6. sayemislam says:

    Howard – thank you for this timely blog post, as usual – markets and business cycles go up and down, but it takes balls to run a business and make it grow over the long-run. The only thing that is constant is passion/determination and that's one of the few things you could really bet on when you invest in the people running a company. It's also probably why a lot of successful entrepreneurs (and traders) were former athletes too. Because true athletes never give up.

    Loved Paul Graham's essay there. Another one that I'm a big fan of, and one that I turn to every so often, is this post on how “Entrepreneurs Will Save America” – it's optimistic, but it's an optimism that I like to believe in – http://bit.ly/14SUCI

  7. Jason says:

    This is an excellent blog. Rolling up your sleeves, and actually making shit happen is a great saying. I like to think of the theme song from Rocky to motivate me gets me going all the time lol. Your dead on! In the real world like your traditional brick and mortat stores, or especially in the online world we all need entrepreneurs to bring this economy back. Think of the powers of the internet you can market to the whole world from your office or your spare bedroom. Low overhead costs, and great returns, is turning the internet and savvy entrepreneurs into the modern gold rush of the 21st century. If your smart you take advantage of the internets power. Again great blog, very informative, and great main points thanks!

  8. Jason says:

    This is an excellent blog. Rolling up your sleeves, and actually making shit happen is a great saying. I like to think of the theme song from Rocky to motivate me gets me going all the time lol. Your dead on! In the real world like your traditional brick and mortat stores, or especially in the online world we all need entrepreneurs to bring this economy back. Think of the powers of the internet you can market to the whole world from your office or your spare bedroom. Low overhead costs, and great returns, is turning the internet and savvy entrepreneurs into the modern gold rush of the 21st century. If your smart you take advantage of the internets power. Again great blog, very informative, and great main points thanks!

  9. Jason says:

    This is an excellent blog. Rolling up your sleeves, and actually making shit happen is a great saying. I like to think of the theme song from Rocky to motivate me gets me going all the time lol. Your dead on! In the real world like your traditional brick and mortat stores, or especially in the online world we all need entrepreneurs to bring this economy back. Think of the powers of the internet you can market to the whole world from your office or your spare bedroom. Low overhead costs, and great returns, is turning the internet and savvy entrepreneurs into the modern gold rush of the 21st century. If your smart you take advantage of the internets power. Again great blog, very informative, and great main points thanks!

Comments are closed.